Study of Ulevostinag (MK-1454) Alone or in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Advanced/Metastatic Solid Tumors or Lymphomas (MK-1454-001)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-04-21, after 2017-02-03 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-04-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: metastaticstagecancercarcinomacell
Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipanthiv infectedsolid tumorscombination -
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 32.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 101 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1170 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 76.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 4605 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 6 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1170 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 16.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 101 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 4605 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2552 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 76.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 32.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- mk1454, pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of Intratumoral/Intralesional Administration of V938 in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Advanced/Metastatic or Recurrent Malignancies (V938-001) NCT04135352 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 31% of active trials terminated
- A Study of Gebasaxturev (V937) in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Advanced/Metastatic Solid Tumors (V937-013) NCT04521621 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials terminated
- LYT-200 Alone and in Combination With Chemotherapy or Tislelizumab in Patients With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT04666688 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 52% of active trials completed
- Study of XNW5004 Tablet in Combination With KEYTRUDA® (Pembrolizumab) in Subjects With Advanced Solid Tumors Who Failed Standard Treatments (KEYNOTE F19) NCT06022757 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials terminated
- Intratumoral/Intralesional Administration of MK-4621/JetPEI™ With or Without Pembrolizumab in Participants With Advanced/Metastatic or Recurrent Solid Tumors (MK-4621-002) NCT03739138 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.