Methodology Study To Examine 6-Week Food Intake With Liraglutide In Obese Subjects
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (816 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-01-16, after 2017-02-20 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-01-16. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 37.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: placebo controlledblind placebosubjectsrandomized doubledouble blind
Phrases that lowered it: the effecteffect ofparallelstudy tofood -
Sponsor's past trials: 1638 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 3.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 144 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 75 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1638 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 144 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 24969 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4718 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 37.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 3.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- liraglutide
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Trial to Assess the Effect of Liraglutide on Gastric Emptying in Healthy Obese Volunteers NCT00978393 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Effect of Liraglutide on Body Weight in Overweight or Obese Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes: SCALE™ - Diabetes NCT01272232 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Comparison of Liraglutide Versus Placebo in Weight Loss Maintenance in Obese Subjects: SCALE - Maintenance NCT00781937 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- Effect of Liraglutide on Body Weight in Non-diabetic Obese Subjects or Overweight Subjects With Co-morbidities: SCALE™ - Obesity and Pre-diabetes NCT01272219 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- The Effect of Liraglutide Versus Placebo When Added to Basal Insulin Analogues With or Without Metformin in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes NCT01617434 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.