Venetoclax and Ibrutinib in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory CLL or SLL

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 29% for any early termination, 21% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-08-05. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: subject hascriteria subjectleukemiaulnheart
  Phrases that lowered it: labelopenmalefemaletransplant
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 40% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 16.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 78.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 6106 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 15111 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Ibrutinib and Venetoclax in Relapsed and Refractory Follicular Lymphoma NCT02956382 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed
• A Study to Compare the Efficacy and Safety of a Combined Regimen of Venetoclax and Obinutuzumab Versus Fludarabine, Cyclophosphamide, and Rituximab (FCR)/ Bendamustine And Rituximab (BR) in FIT Patients With Previously Untreated Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL) Without DEL (17P) or TP53 Mutation NCT04285567 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
• Ibrutinib in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Classical Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT02824029 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials completed
• Pirtobrutinib (LOXO-305) Consolidation for MRD Eradication in Patients With Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia/Small Lymphocytic Lymphoma (CLL) Treated With Venetoclax NCT05317936 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials terminated
• Ibrutinib as an Immune Modulating Agent for Patients With Asymptomatic, High-risk CLL/SLL Risk Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia or Small Lymphocytic Lymphoma NCT02518555 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 91% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.