STAT Inhibitor OPB-111077, Decitabine and Venetoclax in Treating Patients With Acute Myeloid Leukemia That Is Refractory, Relapsed or Newly Diagnosed and Ineligible for Intensive Chemotherapy

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 31% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-03-04. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: subjects mustsubjects withpatients mustchemotherapysubjects who
  Phrases that lowered it: aminotransferaseulnamlalaninetrial
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 29.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 27.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 95.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 25 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 58 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Talazoparib and Gemtuzumab Ozogamicin for the Treatment of CD33 Positive Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04207190 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
• Venetoclax and Decitabine in Treating Participants With Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia or Relapsed High-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome NCT03404193 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials terminated
• A Phase 1b Master Trial to Investigate CPX-351 in Subjects With Previously Untreated Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04075747 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
• Trial of DFP-10917 vs Non-Intensive or Intensive Reinduction for AML Patients in 2nd/3rd/4th Salvage NCT03926624 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials terminated
• Magrolimab, Azacitidine, and Venetoclax for the Treatment of Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04435691 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.