Phase II Trial of AZD2014 in TSC1/2 Mutated or TSC1/2 Null GC Patients as Second-line Chemotherapy
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 24% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2018-11-16, after 2017-02-01 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-11-16. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cancerresectionventricularchemotherapyer
Phrases that lowered it: trialsolidagedexaminationpatients who -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.8% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 77 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor's past trials: 168 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 100% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 168 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 77 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 2 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 100% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- vistusertib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Trial of AZD5363 Plus Paclitaxel /AZD2014 Plus Paclitaxel in Biomarker Negative (PIK3CA/MEK/RAS/TP53/MET) Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients as Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02449655 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 41% of active trials terminated
- Study of AZD5363 in Combination With Paclitaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients Harboring PIK3CA Mutation and/or PIK3CA Amplification as a Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02451956 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
- Phase Ib, Single-arm Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Combination With Docetaxel, in Any Solid Cancer and Sequential Phase II, Single-arm Study of AZD6094 (Volitinib) in Combination With Docetaxel in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With MET Amplification as a Second Line Treatment NCT02447406 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 55% of active trials completed
- Everolimus and Combination Chemotherapy in Treating Patients With Metastatic Stomach or Esophageal Cancer NCT01231399 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Single-arm Study of Selumetinib in Combination With Docetaxel, in Advanced Gastric Adenocarcinoma Patients With Low/High MEK Signature, RAS Mutation or RAS Amplification as a Second-line Chemotherapy NCT02448290 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.