SGI-110 Plus Durvalumab/Tremelimumab in SCLC
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 21% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-11-26, after 2017-12-15 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-11-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjectcelltransplantcancerdisease
Phrases that lowered it: days beforeto evaluate28safety140 -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 30.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 99 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 98.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 99 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1227 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1068 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 98.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 30.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- durvalumab, guadecitabine, tremelimumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Tremelimumab and Durvalumab With or Without Radiation Therapy in Patients With Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02701400 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
- AZD2811 and Durvalumab (MEDI4736) Combination Therapy in Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT04525391 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 95% of active trials terminated
- Safety and Efficacy Study of Nab®-Paclitaxel With CC-486 or Nab®-Paclitaxel With Durvalumab, and Nab®-Paclitaxel Monotherapy as Second/Third-line Treatment for Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02250326 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Pembrolizumab and Paclitaxel in Refractory Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02551432 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
- Durvalumab(MEDI4736) and AZD6738 Combination Therapy in Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer Subjects NCT04361825 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.