Phase 1/2 Trial of Selinexor (KPT-330) With Docetaxel for Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 28% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2023-03-03, after 2018-03-22 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-03-03. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: nsclclung canceradvancedtherapydl
Phrases that lowered it: malekrasevaluate theto evaluateaccording -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 73 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 231 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 11168 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 84.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 231 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 73 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 30484 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 11168 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 84.3% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- docetaxel, selinexor
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Selinexor in Treating Patients With Relapsed Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02351505 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials terminated
- Selective Inhibitor of Nuclear Export, Selinexor (KPT-330) in Combination With Paclitaxel and Carboplatin in Patients With Advanced Ovarian or Endometrial Cancers NCT02269293 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
- Relative Bioavailability/Bioequivalence of Different Formulations of Selinexor, the Impact of Hepatic Impairment on Selinexor Pharmacokinetics, Tolerability and Antitumor Activity of Selinexor Combination Treatment NCT04256707 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Selumetinib and Paclitaxel as Second-Line Treatment in Treating Patients With Stage IIIB-IV Non-small Cell Lung Cancer NCT02503358 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 90% of active trials completed
- A Phase I Dose Escalation Study of Selinexor Plus Nivolumab and Ipilimumab in Advanced/Metastatic Solid Malignancies NCT04850755 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.