Cyclophosphamide and Alemtuzumab In Lymphoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 26% for any early termination, 11% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2018-01-30, after 2017-07-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-01-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellchemotherapyheartwomencyclophosphamide
Phrases that lowered it: participantsulnweeksclinical trialantiretroviral -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 25.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 267 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 78 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 94.9% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 10955 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 68601 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 2 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 267 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 78 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 68601 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 10955 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 94.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 25.1% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- alemtuzumab, cyclophosphamide
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Trial of Bendamustine, Bortezomib, and Rituximab in Patients With Previously Untreated Low Grade Lymphoma NCT01029730 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 73% of active trials completed
- Phase III Study of Tucidinostat in Combination With R-CHOP in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Double-Expressor DLBCL NCT04231448 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
- Study to Assess Safety, Tolerability and Efficacy of MB-106 in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory B-Cell NHL or CLL NCT05360238 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 62% of active trials terminated
- Phase IIa Study of Redirected Autologous T Cells Engineered to Contain Anti-CD19 Attached to TCRz and 4-Signaling Domains in Patients With Chemotherapy Relapsed or Refractory CD19+ Lymphomas NCT02030834 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
- Study of Bendamustine Hydrochloride and Rituximab (BR) Compared With R-CVP or R-CHOP in the First-Line Treatment of Patients With Advanced Indolent Non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma (NHL) or Mantle Cell Lymphoma (MCL) - Referred to as the BRIGHT Study NCT00877006 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 29% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.