Bemcentinib (BGB324) in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Patients With TNBC
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 28% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2018-08-20, after 2017-07-26 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-08-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: ventricularbreast cancerlongqtccardiac
Phrases that lowered it: times theaminotransferasescreeningand safetyhas history -
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 31.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 77.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Keywords listed: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 6299 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3468 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 77.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 31.4% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- bemcentinib, pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- The BURAN Study of Buparlisib in Patients With Recurrent or Metastatic HNSCC NCT04338399 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- Ph II Study of Pembrolizumab & Eribulin in Patients With HR+/HER2- MBC Previously Treated With Anthracyclines & Taxanes NCT03222856 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 97% of active trials completed
- A Phase II Study of Nivolumab in Combination With Cabozantinib for Metastatic Triple-negative Breast Cancer NCT03316586 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- Bemcentinib (BGB324) in Combination With Pembrolizumab in Patients With Advanced Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) NCT03184571 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy of SB 11285 Alone and in Combination With Atezolizumab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT04096638 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.