A Study of BMS-813160 in Combination With Chemotherapy or Nivolumab in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 18% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-06-14. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: bmspancreaticchemotherapymetastaticcolorectal
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantsuspectedpharmacokineticevaluate the
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 119 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 13 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 23.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 29775 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 576 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 6 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• An Investigational Immuno-Therapy Study of Experimental Medication BMS-986242 Given in Combination With Nivolumab in Patients With Advanced Cancer NCT03351231 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials terminated
• An Investigational Immuno-therapy Study of Experimental Medication BMS-986179 Given Alone and in Combination With Nivolumab NCT02754141 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 73% of active trials completed
• An Investigational Immuno-Therapy Study of Experimental Medication BMS-986178 by Itself or in Combination With Nivolumab and/or Ipilimumab in Participants With Solid Cancers That Are Advanced or Have Spread NCT02737475 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed
• An Investigational Immuno-therapy Study of BMS-986205 Given in Combination With Nivolumab and in Combination With Both Nivolumab and Ipilimumab in Cancers That Are Advanced or Have Spread NCT02658890 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
• A Study of BMS-986205 Given in Combination With Nivolumab in Patients With Advanced Tumors NCT03192943 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.