A First-in-human Study of the Safety, Pharmacokinetics, Pharmacodynamics and Anti-tumor Activity of SAR439459 Monotherapy and Combination of SAR439459 and Cemiplimab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 15% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-01-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: to determinecolorectalheartmelanomachronic
  Phrases that lowered it: vaccineand safetynsclcsolidimmunogenicity
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.6% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 67 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor's past trials: 870 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A First-in-Human Dose Escalation and Expansion Study to Evaluate Intratumoral Administration of SAR441000 as Monotherapy and in Combination With Cemiplimab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03871348 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 15% of active trials terminated
• Dose Escalation and Expansion Study of WTX-124 as Monotherapy and in Combination With Pembrolizumab (Pembro) in Patients With Selected Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT05479812 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
• Dose Escalation and Expansion Study of GSK3359609 in Participants With Selected Advanced Solid Tumors (INDUCE-1) NCT02723955 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
• A Phase 1b Trial of ATRC-101 in Adults With Advanced Solid Malignancies NCT04244552 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials terminated
• Study of ASP0739 Alone and With Pembrolizumab in Advanced Solid Tumors With NY-ESO-1 Expression Participants NCT04939701 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 62% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.