Study of Venetoclax in Combination With Chemotherapy in Pediatric Patients With Refractory or Relapsed Acute Myeloid Leukemia or Acute Leukemia of Ambiguous Lineage

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 21% for any early termination, 11% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-06-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: leukemiadeterminechemotherapymarrowacute
  Phrases that lowered it: patientsparticipantssafetymalenormal
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 11.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 260664 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 70.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 41102 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 16 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: 20 (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study of Oral Venetoclax Tablets and Oral Azacitidine as Maintenance Therapy in Adult Participants With Acute Myeloid Leukemia in First Remission After Conventional Chemotherapy NCT04102020 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials completed
• Venetoclax Add in Combination With Fludarabine, Cyratabine and Idarubicine in Induction for Acute Myelid Leukemia NCT03455504 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed
• A Study of Venetoclax in Combination With Navitoclax and Chemotherapy in Subjects With Relapsed/Refractory Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia or Relapsed/Refractory Lymphoblastic Lymphoma NCT03181126 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 49% of active trials completed
• A Study of Venetoclax and Alvocidib in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT03441555 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
• A Study of Oral Venetoclax Tablet in Combination With Subcutaneous Low-Dose Cytarabine (LDAC) Injection to Assess Adverse Events in Adult Japanese Participants With Acute Myeloid Leukemia (AML) NCT04509622 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.