Multiple Doses Study of SHR4640 in Male Subjects With High Serum Uric Acid Level
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (816 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2018-02-15, after 2017-07-04 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2018-02-15. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: kidneyhepatitischronicvirusml
Phrases that lowered it: dayhealthythe trialproductsdose -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- other (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 65 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 7 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic, musculoskeletal
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Single Dose Study of SHR4640 in Healthy Male Volunteers NCT03015948 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacokinetic and Safety Studies of SHR4640 in Subjects With Moderate Renal Insufficiency and Healthy Subjects NCT05954169 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A PHASE I, RANDOMIZED, PLACEBO-CONTROLLED, SINGLE DOSE ESCALATION STUDY TO INVESTIGATE SAFETY, PHARMACOKINETICS AND PHARMACODYNAMICS OF SHR0534 IN HEALTHY VOLUNTEERS NCT02749097 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- A Phase I Study to Evaluate the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics ，Pharmacodynamics of Oral SHR2150 in Healthy Subjects NCT04802811 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- A Trial of SHR6390 in Healthy Caucasian Volunteers NCT04301804 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.