Comparing Efficacy and Safety of CinnaGen Biosimilar Growth Hormone (CinnaTropin®) Versus Nordilet in Children With Idiopathic Growth Hormone Deficiency
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 8% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 10% of the time (1,463 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2017-02-04, after 2016-03-09 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2017-02-04. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chronicfailure30syndromereplacement
Phrases that lowered it: and safetyefficacy andsafety ofnormalthe efficacy -
Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 1 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 16 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 4 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past trials: 0 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 4 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 16 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 1 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Trial Investigating Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics of a Single Dose of Long-acting Growth Hormone (Somapacitan) Compared to Daily Dosing of Norditropin® SimpleXx® in Children With Growth Hormone Deficiency NCT01973244 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- Trial to Compare the Efficacy and Safety of NNC0195-0092 (Somapacitan) With Placebo and Norditropin® FlexPro® (Somatropin) in Adults With Growth Hormone Deficiency. NCT02229851 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
- Investigating Efficacy and Safety of Once-weekly NNC0195-0092 Treatment Compared to Daily Growth Hormone Treatment (Norditropin® FlexPro®) in Growth Hormone Treatment naïve Pre-pubertal Children With Growth Hormone Deficiency NCT02616562 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 35% of active trials completed
- A Phase 3 Trial of the Safety, Tolerability and Efficacy of TransCon hGH Weekly Versus Daily hGH in Children With Growth Hormone Deficiency (GHD) NCT02781727 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety of Recombinant Human Growth Hormone on Height Velocity in Subjects With Idiopathic Short Stature NCT01778023 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.