Pevonedistat and Azacitidine in MDS or MDS/MPN Patients Who Fail Primary Therapy With DNA Methyl Transferase Inhibitors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 25% for any early termination, 17% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 30% of the time (107 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-11-27, after 2017-08-07 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-11-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patientbiopsycoronarygrafttherapy
Phrases that lowered it: days beforedrug14patients whosevere -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 44.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 50% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 98.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
-
Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 69 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 44.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 10 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 8780 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1274 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 98.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 50% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- azacitidine, pevonedistat
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Pevonedistat and Low Dose Cytarabine in Adult Patients With AML and MDS NCT03459859 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 53% of active trials completed
- Treatment of MDS/AML Patients With an Impending Hematological Relapse With AZA or ATA and Pevonedistat NCT04712942 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
- Pevonedistat and Decitabine in Treating Patients With High Risk Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT03009240 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- Pevonedistat and Azacitidine as Maintenance Therapy After Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation for Non-Remission AML NCT03709576 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials terminated
- Pevonedistat, Azacitidine (or Decitabine), and Venetoclax for the Treatment of Patients With Acute Myelogenous Leukemia NCT04172844 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.