Study to Assess Enzastaurin + R-CHOP in Subjects With DLBCL With the Genomic Biomarker DGM1™

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 29% for any early termination, 11% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-08-11. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cellrandomizationmalignancychronicsubjects with
  Phrases that lowered it: lymphomaand safetyefficacy andsafety ofdlbcl
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 27.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 37.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 99.1% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 18 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 0 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Phase III Study of Tucidinostat in Combination With R-CHOP in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Double-Expressor DLBCL NCT04231448 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
• Atezolizumab, Rituximab, Gemcitabine and Oxaliplatin in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory DLBCL Not Suitable for High-dose Therapy NCT03422523 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials terminated
• Polatuzumab Vedotin Plus Rituximab, Ifosfamide, Carboplatin and Etoposide (Pola-R-ICE) Versus R-ICE Alone in Second Line Treatment of Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma (DLBCL) NCT04833114 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
• A Phase I/II Trial of VR-CHOP in Lymphoma Patients NCT00634179 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials completed
• Copanlisib With Rituximab-Bendamustine in Patients With Relapsed-Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma NCT04433182 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.