Treatment of Steroid Refractory Gastro-intestinal Acute GVHD afteR AllogeneiC HSCT With fEcal Microbiota tranSfer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 18% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 13% of the time (1,304 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-11-26, after 2018-08-13 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-11-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: donorgvhdcellgraftallogeneic
Phrases that lowered it: femaledrugslinepatients whoaccording -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 37.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 77.8% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past trials: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 2 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 2 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 27 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 6 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 77.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 37.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- fecal microbiota
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- FMT In High-Risk Acute GVHD After ALLO HCT NCT04139577 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 96% of active trials completed
- Fecal Microbiota Transplantation for Steroid Resistant/Dependent Acute GI GVHD NCT03812705 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 48% of active trials completed
- Fecal Microbiota Transplantation With Ruxolitinib and Steroids as an Upfront Treatment of Severe Acute Intestinal GVHD NCT04269850 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials terminated
- Fecal Microbiota Transplantation (FMT) in Recipients After Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation (HCT) NCT03720392 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
- Optimal Fecal Microbiota Transplant Dosing for Mild to Moderate Ulcerative Colitis NCT03006809 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 35% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.