Sapanisertib, Carboplatin, and Paclitaxel in Treating Patients With Recurrent or Refractory Malignant Solid Tumors
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 16% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 11% of the time (918 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-06-08, after 2018-03-12 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-06-08. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 27.6% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellsgrowthtreatingbrainchemotherapy
Phrases that lowered it: pulmonaryblood pressurefirst dose90solid -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.0% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 77059 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 14487 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 722 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 27.6% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 228 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 77059 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 14487 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 93.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 21.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- carboplatin, paclitaxel, sapanisertib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Sapanisertib and Metformin in Treating Patients With Advanced or Metastatic Relapsed or Refractory Cancers NCT03017833 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 42% of active trials completed
- TAK-659 and Paclitaxel in Treating Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03756818 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 61% of active trials completed
- Study of TAK-228 (MLN0128) in Soft Tissue Sarcomas NCT02987959 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials terminated
- Dual mTorc Inhibition in advanCed/Recurrent Epithelial Ovarian, Fallopian Tube or Primary Peritoneal Cancer (of Clear Cell, Endometrioid and High Grade Serous Type, and Carcinosarcoma) NCT03648489 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 76% of active trials completed
- Evaluation of the Safety and Tolerability of TAK-228 With TAK-117 and Paclitaxel in Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03154294 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 18% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.