Ribociclib and Aromatase Inhibitor in Treating Older Participants With Hormone Receptor Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 32% for any early termination, 17% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,198 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-06-05. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: prior tostartingeffectschronicreceiving
  Phrases that lowered it: participantsat screeningdiseasestypeclinically significant
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.1% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 39 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 70.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 10.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past trials: 137 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
• Keywords listed: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports before start: 1215 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Ribociclib and Letrozole in Treating Patients With Relapsed ER Positive Ovarian, Fallopian Tube, Primary Peritoneal, or Endometrial Cancer NCT02657928 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
• Ribociclib and Gemcitabine Hydrochloride in Treating Patients With Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT03237390 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials completed
• A Trial of Ribocilcib (LEE011) and Weekly Paclitaxel in Patients With Rb+ Advanced Breast Cancer NCT02599363 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
• An Open-Label, Phase Ib/II Clinical Trial Of Cdk 4/6 Inhibitor, Ribociclib (Lee011), In Combination With Trastuzumab Or T-Dm1 For Advanced/Metastatic Her2-Positive Breast Cancer. NCT02657343 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials completed
• Ribociclib and Gemcitabine Hydrochloride in Treating Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors or Lymphoma NCT02414724 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.