A Research Study Looking at a New Study Medicine (NNC0194-0499) for Weight Control in People With Overweight or Obesity
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 7% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (816 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2019-06-04, after 2018-03-13 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-06-04. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: safety tolerabilitysubjects withnonriskin subjects
Phrases that lowered it: participantshealthyboth inclusiveproductsprescription -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 22 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 70 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 635 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: 55 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 22 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 55 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 635 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 70 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- metabolic
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- nnc0194
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A First-in-human Research Study on How NNC0662-0419 Works in People Living With Overweight or Obesity NCT06737536 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- Research Study of a New Medicine (NNC9204-1706) in People With Overweight or Obesity NCT03661879 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- A Research Study Investigating NNC0247-0829 for Weight Management in People With Overweight or Obesity NCT04010786 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
- Research Study Investigating Study Medicine (NNC9204-1177) for Weight Management in People With Overweight or Obesity NCT03308721 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 9% of active trials completed
- A Research Study Comparing How Well Different Doses of the Medicine NN0519-0130 Help People With Excess Body Weight Lose Weight NCT06326060 · started 2024 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.