Copanlisib Hydrochloride and Nivolumab in Treating Patients With Recurrent or Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma or Primary Mediastinal Large B-cell Lymphoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 21% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (376 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2024-08-14, after 2019-12-13 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-14. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 18.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellpriorprimarysyndromeinjury
Phrases that lowered it: topicalpatients whopatients withcorticosteroidsmultiple -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 30.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 174 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 41472 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 11429 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, dermatology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- government (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1245 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 18.5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 174 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 41472 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 11429 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 30.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- copanlisib, nivolumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Nivolumab in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Peripheral T-cell Lymphoma NCT03075553 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials terminated
- Copanlisib and Combination Chemotherapy for the Treatment of Relapsed or Refractory Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma or Relapsed Grade 3b Follicular Lymphoma NCT04156828 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials terminated
- Dose De-escalation Study of the PI3k Alpha/Delta Inhibitor, Copanlisib Given in Combination With the Immunotherapeutic Agents, Nivolumab and Rituximab in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Indolent Lymphoma NCT04431635 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials terminated
- Study of MK-3475 Alone or in Combination With Copanlisib in Relapsed or Refractory NK and T-cell Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT02535247 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials terminated
- Copanlisib in Combination With Rituximab and CHOP Chemotherapy in Patients With Previously Untreated DLBCL NCT04263584 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 83% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.