A Study of Pembrolizumab and Bavituximab in Patients With Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 28% for any early termination, 9% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2026-03-09, after 2018-04-26 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2026-03-09. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: subjects withchronicheartuncontrolledhcv
Phrases that lowered it: mmhgpressurepatients whomghcc -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 30.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 79.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 0 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- no earlier finished trials (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 0 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 9676 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 4393 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 79.9% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 30.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study of Bavituximab, Axitinib, and Avelumab in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma NCT05249569 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials terminated
- Cabozantinib and Pembrolizumab for the First-Line Treatment of Advanced Liver Cancer NCT04442581 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials terminated
- A Phase II Study of Nivolumab + Ipilimumab in Advanced HCC Patients Who Have Progressed on First Line Atezolizumab + Bevacizumab NCT05199285 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 94% of active trials terminated
- A Study of Tivozanib in Combination With Durvalumab in Subjects With Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma NCT03970616 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 93% of active trials terminated
- DYNAmic Immune Microenvironment of HCC Treated With atezolIzumab Plus bevaCizumab NCT04954339 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 77% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.