Testing Lenvatinib and Cetuximab in Patients With Advanced Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-10-13, after 2018-04-30 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-10-13. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartcellmetastaticdose offirst dose
Phrases that lowered it: safety ofinvestigatorpatientstumorsuln -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 125 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 14.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 486 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 80.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- not given (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 486 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 125 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 22637 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2880 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 80.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 14.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- cetuximab, lenvatinib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Lenvatinib for the Treatment of Recurrent Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplant NCT05103904 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials terminated
- Lenvatinib in Recurrent and/or Metastatic Adenoid Cystic Carcinomas of the Salivary Glands: ACC-LEN14 NCT02860936 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Lenvatinib (LEN) in Combination With Pembrolizumab (KEYtruda) in Subjects With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Non-clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma (The LENKYN Trial) NCT04267120 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials terminated
- A Trial of Lenvatinib (E7080) Plus Pembrolizumab in Participants With Selected Solid Tumors NCT02501096 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 71% of active trials completed
- A Phase II a Study of Lenvatinib, a Multi-targeted Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor, Combined With Pembrolizumab (PD-1 Inhibitor) for the Treatment of Metastatic Gastroesophageal Cancer Patients Who Have Progressed on First or Subsequent Line Therapies NCT03321630 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.