Study of MK-4830 as Monotherapy and in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors (MK-4830-001)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 16% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (1,938 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-09-26, after 2018-07-11 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-09-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: chemotherapymetastaticcancerradiationfirst dose
Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantapplyevaluate thesolid -
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 77 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 22.3% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 1223 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 17 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 29138 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 148887 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 6 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 17 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1223 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 77 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 6 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 148887 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 29138 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 92.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- carboplatin, cisplatin, lenvatinib, mk4830, paclitaxel, pembrolizumab, pemetrexed
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study of MK-0482 as Monotherapy and in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors (MK-0482-001) NCT03918278 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
- Study of Quavonlimab (MK-1308) in Combination With Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Advanced Solid Tumors (MK-1308-001) NCT03179436 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 44% of active trials completed
- Study of MK-1697 in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors (MK-1697-001) NCT03515824 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 66% of active trials terminated
- Avelumab in Metastatic or Locally Advanced Solid Tumors (JAVELIN Solid Tumor) NCT01772004 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials completed
- A Study of Atezolizumab Administered in Combination With Bevacizumab and/or With Chemotherapy in Participants With Locally Advanced or Metastatic Solid Tumors NCT01633970 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.