Atezolizumab and Cobimetinib or Idasanutlin in Participants With Stage IV or Unresectable Recurrent Estrogen Receptor Positive Breast Cancer
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 27% for any early termination, 17% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (851 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2020-12-10, after 2018-07-10 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-12-10. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: brainsubjectsmetastaticunresectableocular
Phrases that lowered it: participantsparticipantbreast cancertrialvaccine -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 45.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 18.3% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 4356 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.2% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1/2 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 2 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 75 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 45.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 14 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 4356 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 2204 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 18.3% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- atezolizumab, cobimetinib, idasanutlin
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Bintrafusp Alfa and Pimasertib for the Treatment of Patients With Brain Metastases NCT04789668 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials terminated
- Ribociclib + PDR001 in Breast Cancer and Ovarian Cancer NCT03294694 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials terminated
- Safety and Efficacy of SB 11285 Alone and in Combination With Atezolizumab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT04096638 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
- A Phase II Study of Nivolumab in Combination With Cabozantinib for Metastatic Triple-negative Breast Cancer NCT03316586 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials completed
- BDB001-102: Open Label Dose Escalation of BDB001 in Combination w Atezolizumab NCT04196530 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 37% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.