Phase 2b Study of KBP-5074 in Subjects With Uncontrolled Hypertension and Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 23% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 20% of the time (389 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-08-05. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: chronic kidneykidney diseasemsacuteend
  Phrases that lowered it: patientsmoderatepharmacokineticsproductsbased on
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 2 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: 85 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of KBP-5074 Following Oral Administration in Chronic Kidney Disease NCT02837237 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
• An Efficacy, Safety, Tolerability and Dose Finding Study of XXB750 in Resistant Hypertension Patients. NCT05562934 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 81% of active trials completed
• A Study to Learn How BAY94-8862 Moves Into, Through and Out of the Body, How Safe it is and How it Affects the Body in Adult Participants With Reduced Kidney Function and in Healthy Participants With Similar Age, Weight and Gender Distribution NCT04908436 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
• PK of Pacritinib in Patients With Mild, Moderate, Severe Renal Impairment and ESRD Compared to Healthy Subjects NCT02807077 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• A Multicenter, Randomized, Double-Blind Phase 3 Trial of KDF1901 in Patients With Essential Hypertension NCT07116863 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.