Pain Outcomes of Non-opioid vs. Opioid Analgesia for Kidney Stone Surgery.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 10% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 15% of the time (169 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-03-23, after 2018-07-27 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-03-23. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 16.9% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: painopioidoutcomesrenalchronic
Phrases that lowered it: patientsallergictrialulcersensitive -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: supportive care (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 46 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 472772 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 74.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 116644 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- supportive care (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 124 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 16.9% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 46 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 472772 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 116644 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 74.6% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 22.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- acetaminophen, ketorolac, oxycodone
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Visceral Pain From the Upper Urinary Tract - a Trial on the Effect of Morphine and Oxycodone in Patients Undergoing PCNL NCT00784472 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 23% of active trials completed
- Perioperative Pregabalin in Ureteroscopy NCT04122196 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
- Prospective Randomized Controlled Trial for Pain Relief After Office Ureteral Stent Removal NCT04112160 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials completed
- Toradol to Reduce Ureteroscopic Symptoms Trial NCT03111381 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed
- Does a Non-Opioid Multimodal Pain (NOMO) Protocol Decrease Narcotic Use NCT05386069 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 56% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.