Rituximab + Immunotherapy in Follicular Lymphoma
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 8% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2023-07-30, after 2018-10-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “enrollment”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-07-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartfailurecardiacmyocardialimaging
Phrases that lowered it: lymphomapatientsinvestigatorasthmafollicular -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.3% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 97 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 19.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor's past trials: 289 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 13571 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 67542 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 7 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Drugs with FDA adverse-event history: 3 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 7 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 289 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 97 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 67542 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 13571 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 19.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- avelumab, rituximab, utomilumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Atezolizumab, Rituximab, Gemcitabine and Oxaliplatin in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory DLBCL Not Suitable for High-dose Therapy NCT03422523 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials terminated
- SG2501 Safety Study in Subjects with Relapsed or Refractory Hematological Malignancies and Lymphoma. NCT05293912 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials terminated
- Clinical Trial of Ublituximab and Umbralisib With CHOP (U2-CHOP) Followed by U2 Maintenance (U2-CHOP-U2) in Previously Untreated Mantle Cell Lymphoma (MCL) NCT04692155 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials terminated
- Pembrolizumab With Rituximab or Obinutuzumab in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Follicular Lymphoma or Diffuse Large B Cell Lymphoma NCT03401853 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials terminated
- Dose De-escalation Study of the PI3k Alpha/Delta Inhibitor, Copanlisib Given in Combination With the Immunotherapeutic Agents, Nivolumab and Rituximab in Patients With Relapsed/Refractory Indolent Lymphoma NCT04431635 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.