Ibrutinib With Rituximab and Lenalidomide for Patients With Recurrent/Refractory Primary or Secondary Central Nervous System Lymphoma (PCNSL/SCNSL)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 11% of the time (918 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2026-01-26, after 2019-01-22 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2026-01-26. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: patienttransplantstembowelcell
Phrases that lowered it: participants140hepatitis virushcvaminotransferase -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 5.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 132 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 18.6% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor's past trials: 518 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports before start: 259327 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 48026 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 518 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 132 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 3 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 259327 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 48026 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 82.8% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 18.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- ibrutinib, lenalidomide, rituximab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Bruton's Tyrosine Kinase (BTK) Inhibitor, Ibrutinib, in Patients With Newly Diagnosed or Refractory/Recurrent Primary Central Nervous System Lymphoma (PCNSL) and Refractory/Recurrent Secondary Central Nervous System Lymphoma (SCNSL) NCT02315326 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 39% of active trials completed
- Copanlisib With Ibrutinib for Patients With Recurrent/ Refractory Primary Central Nervous System Lymphoma (PCNSL) NCT03581942 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
- Rituximab, Acalabrutinib, and Durvalumab (RAD) in Primary CNS Lymphoma. NCT04688151 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
- Nivolumab and Ibrutinib in Treating Patients With Relapsed or Refractory Central Nervous System Lymphoma NCT03770416 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 84% of active trials completed
- Rituximab, Bendamustine Hydrochloride, and Lenalidomide in Treating Patients With Refractory or Relapsed Indolent Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT01429025 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.