Efficacy and Safety of Trastuzumab Biosimilar (Herzuma®) Plus Treatment of Physician's Choice (TPC) in Patients With HER-2 Positive Metastatic Breast Cancer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 36% for any early termination, 12% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (376 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-06-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: breast cancertrastuzumabher2metastatic breastuln
  Phrases that lowered it: the efficacyand safetyefficacy andlineprogression
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 15.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 19 (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 11 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Compare Efficacy, Safety and Immunogenicity of HLX02 and Herceptin in Previously Untreated HER2 +Overexpressing Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT03084237 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 25% of active trials completed
• A Study of Trastuzumab Emtansine in Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (HER)2 Immunohistochemistry (IHC)-Positive, Locally Advanced or Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) NCT02289833 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
• A Study to Investigate the Tolerability of Subcutaneous (SC) Trastuzumab Administration in Participants With Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor 2 (HER2) Positive Early Breast Cancer (eBC) Using Either a Single-Use Injection Device or Manual Administration NCT02194166 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 17% of active trials completed
• Continued HER2 Suppression With Lapatinib Plus Trastuzumab Versus Trastuzumab Alone NCT00968968 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 31% of active trials terminated
• A Study Evaluating the Safety and Efficacy of Venetoclax in Combination With Trastuzumab Emtansine in Patients With Previously Treated HER2-Positive Locally Advanced or Metastatic Breast Cancer NCT04298918 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 78% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.