PD-1 Antibody in EBV Positive Metastatic Gastric Cancer Patients.
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 18% for any early termination, 8% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-12-31, after 2018-12-01 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-12-31. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: metastaticsubjectscancerchemotherapytherapy
Phrases that lowered it: investigate theplatinumclinically significant14gastric -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 4.4% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 117 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Sponsor's past trials: 136 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
-
Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
-
Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
-
Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 136 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 4.4% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 117 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 1 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 1 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, digestive
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- camrelizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Phase Ib/II Study to Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of Nivolumab in Combination With Paclitaxel in Epstein-Barr Virus(EBV)-Related, or Microsatellite Instability-High (MSI-H), or Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1 (PD-L1) Positive Advanced Gastric Cancer NCT05535569 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 45% of active trials completed
- Checkpoint Inhibitor and Radiotherapy for Recurrent Gastric Cancer (CIRCUIT) NCT03453164 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- A Study of AK104, a PD-1/CTLA-4 Bispecific Antibody, for Advanced Solid Tumors or With mXELOX/XELOX as First-line Therapy for Advanced Gastric or GEJ Adenocarcinoma NCT03852251 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 43% of active trials completed
- A Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Participants With Recurrent or Metastatic Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma (MK-3475-059/KEYNOTE-059) NCT02335411 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Conversion Effects of PD-1 Antibody Camrelizumab Combined With Nab-POF Regimen Chemotherpy in Patients With Initially Unresectable Locally Advanced or Limited Metastatic Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Adenocarcinoma:FDZL-GC001 Trial NCT04510064 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 63% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.