A Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability, and Pharmacokinetics of Ascending, Subcutaneous, Single and Multiple Doses of SHP681 (Glucagon-like Peptide-2 [GLP-2] Analog-Fc Fusion) in Healthy Adult Participants

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 4% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-01-06. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: ascendingmultipleplacebogreaterto contain
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyfirst doseparticipantadultcaffeine
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.5% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 28 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study to Determine the Bioavailability of Lanadelumab (SHP643) Administered Subcutaneously With the Prefilled Syringe and the Autoinjector in Healthy Adult Volunteer Participants. NCT03918239 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
• Study to Assess the Relative Potency of Multiple Oral Doses of LUM001 and SHP626 in Overweight and Obese Adults as Assessed by Fecal Bile Acid Excretion NCT02475317 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• Study to Evaluate the Effect of Omeprazole on the Pharmacokinetics of SPD422 (Anagrelide Hydrochloride) in Healthy Adult Participants NCT03866434 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
• Single Dose Escalation First Time in Human PK Study NCT00828867 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• The Effect of Food on the Bioavailability of a Single Dose of SSP-004184SS in Healthy Adult Subjects NCT01905553 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.