Evaluation of Potential Phototoxicity Skin Reaction After Use of MC2-01 Cream

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 4% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (139 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-03-09. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancersystemicvitaminskintreated
  Phrases that lowered it: healthyscreeningstudy todayfemale
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Evaluation of Potential Development of Photoallergic Skin Reaction After Use of MC2-01 Cream NCT03899064 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
• Study to Find Out if Cream V61-044 Used to Treat Fungal Infections Causes an Allergic Skin Reaction to Sunlight in Healthy Participants NCT04532164 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• W0265-104: A Single-Center, Evaluator-Blinded, Randomized, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 1 Clinical Trial Evaluating the Photoallergic Potential of Topically Applied Clindamycin Phosphate 1.0% and Tretinoin 0.025% (CT Gel) in Healthy Volunteers NCT01915758 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
• Study to Learn More About the Potential of Antifungal Cream V61-044 Containing Trolamine to Cause Irritant Reaction of the Skin to Ultra Violet Light in Healthy Human Subjects NCT04531527 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• W0265-103: A Single-Center, Evaluator-Blinded, Randomized, Placebo Controlled, Phase 1 Clinical Trial Evaluating The Phototoxic Potential Of Topically Applied Clindamycin 1.0% - Tretinoin 0.025% Gel (Ct Gel) In Healthy Volunteers NCT01929278 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.