Efficacy and Safety Study of Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy (SBRT) With or Without Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) in Adults With Unresected Stage I or II Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) (MK-3475-867/KEYNOTE-867)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 23% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 16% of the time (927 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2025-01-20, after 2019-06-25 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “business”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-01-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellnsclclung cancerstagenon small
Phrases that lowered it: participantsand safetyefficacy andsafety oftuberculosis -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.2% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 28.7% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 115 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past trials: 1253 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 82.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 3 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1253 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 115 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 15808 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 5260 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 82.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 28.7% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, respiratory
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- PembRolIzuMab and Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy In Metastatic Non-small-cell lunG Cancer Patients NCT03436056 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 82% of active trials terminated
- Trial of Consolidation Pembrolizumab After Concurrent Chemotherapy and Proton Reirradiation for Thoracic Recurrences of Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer NCT03087760 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 99% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy Study of Pemetrexed + Platinum Chemotherapy + Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) With or Without Lenvatinib (MK-7902/E7080) as First-line Intervention in Adults With Metastatic Nonsquamous Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (MK-7902-006/E7080-G000-315/LEAP-006)-China Extension Study NCT04716933 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Pembrolizumab After SBRT Versus Pembrolizumab Alone in Advanced NSCLC NCT02492568 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) With or Without Lenvatinib (MK-7902/E7080) in Adults With Programmed Cell Death-Ligand 1 (PD-L1)-Positive Treatment-naïve Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) (MK-7902-007/E7080-G000-314/LEAP-007) NCT03829332 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 75% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.