Evaluation of the Effects of Multiple Doses of Cebranopadol on the Electrical Activity of the Heart in Healthy Subjects
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 3% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
How it ended
Completed on 2013-11-27, after 2013-07-10 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started 2008–2014: scored by a model trained without any trial from its start year, so its own outcome was never used.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2013-11-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartcoronarycardiacqtsyndrome
Phrases that lowered it: healthypharmacokineticalcoholproductsproduct -
Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.5% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 1
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 45 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 4 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 4 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 2448 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 417 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 90.0% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.5% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- moxifloxacin
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study to Investigate the Effect of BL-8040 (Motixafortide) on the QTc Interval in Healthy Subjects NCT05293171 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials completed
- Effect of Estetrol Monohydrate (E4) on QTc Interval NCT04819906 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetics of CMS121, a Drug Candidate for Alzheimer's Disease, in Healthy Subjects NCT05318040 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 7% of active trials completed
- A Randomized, Single-Dose, Comparative, Positive and Placebo Controlled, Four-Way, Four Period, Cross-Over Study to Evaluate the Effect of DIC075V on QTc Intervals in Healthy Subjects NCT01812538 · started 2009 · scored riskier than 2% of active trials completed
- This Study Will Investigate the Effect of Single Oral Doses of Retosiban on Cardiac Repolarization, With Moxifloxacin as a Positive Control in Healthy Volunteers. NCT01702376 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.