Erector Spinae Plane Block in Scoliotic Adolescents
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 4% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 9% of the time (53 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2019-12-02, after 2019-06-18 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2019-12-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 0% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: blockii000painpatients
Phrases that lowered it: drugsallergyrandomizedtendencycriteria -
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 38 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: supportive care (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Maximum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 75.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
-
Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
-
Minimum age: 8 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- supportive care (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 8 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 18 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 31 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 38 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 5 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 583159 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 82786 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 75.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 24.8% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- musculoskeletal
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- acetaminophen, fentanyl, ketorolac, meperidine, morphine
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- The Erector Spinae Plane Block and Its Effect on Respiratory Status and Pain Management in Rib Fracture Patients NCT03805360 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 97% of active trials terminated
- The Effect of High-thoracic Erector Spinae Plane Block on Postoperative Pain and Diaphragmatic Function in Posterior Cervical Spine Surgery NCT06721832 · started 2025 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
- Dexmedetomidine Versus Magnesium Sulfate in Ultrasound Guided Bilateral Bi-level Erector Spinae Plane Block in Corrective Scoliosis Surgery NCT05671081 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- Analgesic Effect of Bilateral Erector Spinae Plane Block With Ropivacaine After Sternotomy for Cardiac Surgery NCT05160298 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 64% of active trials completed
- Erector Spinae Plane Block NCT04118101 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.