Study to Evaluate DNL151 in Subjects With Parkinson's Disease
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 23% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (544 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-12-02, after 2019-07-23 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-12-02. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: multiplein subjectssubjects withparkinsondisease
Phrases that lowered it: pharmacokineticsfev1asthmablood pressurepredicted -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 30 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 35 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Maximum age: 75 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 0 (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- sequential (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 2 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 30 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 260 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 35 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- neurology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Study to Evaluate DNL201 in Subjects With Parkinson's Disease NCT03710707 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability, PK and PD Study of Neu-120 in the Treatment of Levodopa-induced Dyskinesia NCT00607451 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials terminated
- A Safety, Tolerability and Levodopa Pharmacokinetics Study of Repeated ND0612 in Parkinson's Disease Patients NCT01883505 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
- Safety and Efficacy of DA-9805 for Parkinson's Disease NCT03189563 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Lu AF28996 in Participants With Parkinson's Disease (PD) NCT04291859 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.