Study of the Safety and Efficacy of Gemtuzumab Ozogamicin (GO) and Venetoclax in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory CD33+ Acute Myeloid Leukemia:Big Ten Cancer Research Consortium BTCRC-AML17-113

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 29% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 23% of the time (1,629 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-02-20. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: carcinomacellacuteof studyleukemia
  Phrases that lowered it: evaluate28screeningcycledose
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Responsible party: sponsor investigator (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 34.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor's past termination rate: no earlier finished trials (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 0 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 93.5% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 2 (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Talazoparib and Gemtuzumab Ozogamicin for the Treatment of CD33 Positive Relapsed or Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04207190 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 80% of active trials completed
• Magrolimab, Azacitidine, and Venetoclax for the Treatment of Acute Myeloid Leukemia NCT04435691 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 88% of active trials terminated
• Trial for Relapsed or Refractory AML Patients Combining Cytarabine and Mitoxantrone With Venetoclax (RELAX) NCT04330820 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 85% of active trials completed
• A Safety, Tolerability and Preliminary Efficacy Study of CC-90011 in Combination With Venetoclax and Azacitidine in R/R Acute Myeloid Leukemia and Treatment-naïve Participants Not Eligible for Intensive Therapy NCT04748848 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials terminated
• Venetoclax Add in Combination With Fludarabine, Cyratabine and Idarubicine in Induction for Acute Myelid Leukemia NCT03455504 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 92% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.