CHF6467 SAD and MAD in Patients With Diabetic Foot Ulcer

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 12% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (49 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-01-07. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Sponsor's past termination rate: 2.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: subjectsubjects withcelldiabeticin subjects
  Phrases that lowered it: areascreeningtopicalsafetyulcer
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 6 (lowers risk) · Design
• Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 19 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 93 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Disease area, cardiovascular: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Evaluate the Safety and Efficacy of ON101 Cream for the Treatment of Chronic Diabetic Foot Ulcers NCT04962139 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 26% of active trials terminated
• Phase III Study to Evaluate Efficacy and Safety of DSC127 in Diabetic Foot Ulcers NCT01830348 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials terminated
• Phase 3 Study Evaluating Efficacy and Safety of DSC127 Compared With Vehicle and With Standard-of-care in Diabetic Foot Ulcers NCT01849965 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials terminated
• Nu-3 Topical Gel for Treatment of Diabetic Foot Ulcer NCT05276401 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials terminated
• Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics Study of Single and Repeated Doses of Topical GSK1278863 NCT01831804 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 12% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.