Hybrid Closed Loop Therapy and Verapamil for Beta Cell Preservation in New Onset Type 1 Diabetes
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 15% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 20% of the time (607 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-09-30, after 2020-07-09 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-09-30. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: diabetesinsulinusediagnosisparticipation
Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsthe effecteffect ofcell -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Design: factorial (lowers risk) · Design
-
Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
-
Collaborators: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
-
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 15.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Blinding: triple (raises risk) · Design
-
Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Number of arms: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
-
Maximum age: 17 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 6 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
-
Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 72.7% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
-
Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.7% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 4 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- factorial (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- triple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 5 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 10 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 7 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 17 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 65 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.7% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 6 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 32608 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 3211 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 72.7% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 15.2% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, metabolic, immunology, hematology, endocrine
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- verapamil
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- The Insulin-Only Bionic Pancreas Bridging Study NCT03565666 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 54% of active trials completed
- Weekly Subcutaneous Semaglutide as Adjunct to Closed-loop Therapy in Type 1 Diabetes Care NCT05205928 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 40% of active trials completed
- Closed-loop Control of Glucose Levels (Artificial Pancreas) for 12 Days in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes NCT02846831 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 11% of active trials completed
- The Impact of Sitagliptin as an Add on Therapy With Closed Loop Control in Adolescents With Diabetic Nephropathy NCT06115460 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 14% of active trials completed
- ADJUnct Semaglutide Treatment in Type 1 Diabetes NCT05537233 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.