Pembrolizumab in MarginalzoneLymphoma A MULTICENTER OPEN LABEL SINGLE-ARM PHASE II STUDY
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 20% for any early termination, 13% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2024-12-06, after 2022-03-01 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “efficacy”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-12-06. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellhcvhepatitisevidenceliver
Phrases that lowered it: visitcombinationlymphomaaccordingrelapsed -
Sponsor's past termination rate: 15% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Collaborators: 4 (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 17.0% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 31602 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 4 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports before start: 179682 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 1 (raises risk) · Design
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Responsible party: principal investigator (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 89.4% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- Yes (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 4 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 6 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 60 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 15% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 4 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 179682 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 31602 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 89.4% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 17.0% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, immunology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- pembrolizumab, rituximab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Copanlisib With Rituximab-Bendamustine in Patients With Relapsed-Refractory Diffuse Large B-cell Lymphoma NCT04433182 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials terminated
- Venetoclax With Obinutuzumab and Magrolimab (VENOM) in Relapsed and Refractory Indolent B-cell Malignancies NCT04599634 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 60% of active trials completed
- Mosunetuzumab With or Without Polatuzumab Vedotin and Obinutuzumab for the Treatment of Untreated Indolent B-Cell Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma NCT05169658 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 79% of active trials completed
- Atezolizumab, Rituximab, Gemcitabine and Oxaliplatin in Patients With Relapsed or Refractory DLBCL Not Suitable for High-dose Therapy NCT03422523 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials terminated
- Ublituximab Followed by Response-driven Addition of Umbralisib for Treatment-naive Follicular or Marginal Zone Lymphoma NCT04508647 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 98% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.