Study of BMS-986315 Alone and in Combination With Nivolumab or Cetuximab in Participants With Advanced Solid Tumors

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 15% for any early termination, 3% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 29% of the time (655 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2024-08-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Phase: 1/2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 10.4% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 84 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 24.8% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: cancercellsquamousbmscarcinoma
  Phrases that lowered it: participantssolidwith advancedtumorsor suspected
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Maximum age: not given (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 11100 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, respiratory: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 87.4% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• A Study of BMS-986416 With and Without Nivolumab in Select Solid Tumors NCT04943900 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
• An Investigational Immunotherapy Study of BMS-986310 Administered Alone and in Combination With Nivolumab in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03661632 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 67% of active trials completed
• A Study of BMS-986249 Alone and in Combination With Nivolumab in Advanced Solid Tumors NCT03369223 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
• An Investigational Immunotherapy Study of BMS-986301 Alone or in Combination With Nivolumab, and Ipilimumab in Participants With Advanced Solid Cancers NCT03956680 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 50% of active trials completed
• A Study of BMS-986253 in Combination With Nivolumab or Nivolumab Plus Ipilimumab in Advanced Cancers NCT03400332 · started 2018 · scored riskier than 38% of active trials completed

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.