A Study of GSK3228836 in Participants With Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 13% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 8% of the time (780 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-03-18. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: chronicassessmonthstreatmentkidney
  Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsevaluatemedical historyand safety
• Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past trials: 2629 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 6.9% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Has a data monitoring committee: Yes (raises risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 87 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Number of arms: 8 (lowers risk) · Design
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Blinding: single (lowers risk) · Design
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Study of Sequential GSK3228836 and Peginterferon Treatment in Participants With Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) NCT04676724 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 47% of active trials completed
• A Mechanistic Study of GSK3228836 With Fine Needle Aspiration (FNA) in Participants With Chronic Hepatitis B NCT04544956 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 29% of active trials completed
• A Study to Assess the Safety, Tolerability, Pharmacokinetics (PK) and Pharmacodynamics (PD) of GSK3389404 in Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) Subjects NCT03020745 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
• A Study on the Safety, Efficacy and Immune Response Following Sequential Treatment With an Anti-sense Oligonucleotide Against Chronic Hepatitis B (CHB) and Chronic Hepatitis B Targeted Immunotherapy (CHB-TI) in CHB Patients Receiving Nucleos(t)Ide Analogue (NA) Therapy NCT05276297 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
• A Study to Evaluate How Ontamalimab Works and Assess Its Safety and Tolerability in People With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis With Fibrosis Stages 1 to 4 NCT07052682 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 59% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.