Study of Adavosertib(AZD1775) in Japanese Patients With Advanced Solid Tumours
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 8% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2021-09-22, after 2020-06-24 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-09-22. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Primary purpose: other (lowers risk) · Design
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Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 20 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: metastaticlocallybrainpatientchemotherapy
Phrases that lowered it: japaneseopen labellymphomasolidday -
Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 120 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Sponsor's past trials: 1610 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 25% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 125 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 8.1% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 100% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- non randomized (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- other (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 20 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 120 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1610 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 8.1% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 125 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 16 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 7 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 100% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 25% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- adavosertib
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Japanese Phase I Study of AZD2014 in Advanced Solid Malignancies NCT02398747 · started 2015 · scored riskier than 22% of active trials completed
- A Study to Assess the Safety and Tolerability of Adavosertib for Patients With Advanced Solid Tumours NCT04949425 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 42% of active trials terminated
- A Dose Escalation Study of Adavosertib(MK1775) in Combination With 5-FU or 5-FU/CDDP in Patients With Advanced Solid Tumor (1775-005 NCT01047007 · started 2010 · scored riskier than 74% of active trials terminated
- A Phase I, Dose-Escalation Study to Assess the Safety and Drug Levels in Blood of AZD4877 in Japanese Adult Patients NCT00613652 · started 2008 · scored riskier than 16% of active trials completed
- Human Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism, and Excretion Study of [14C]Adavosertib NCT05008913 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 13% of active trials terminated
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.