Injection Regimen Trial of PEG-rhG-CSF During Breast Cancer Chemotherapy
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 18% for any early termination, 7% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 26% of the time (3,728 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2022-11-06, after 2021-07-13 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2022-11-06. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: breast cancercellmarrowthe patientbone
Phrases that lowered it: the upperdiseasestimes thethe testnormal value -
Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: not given (lowers risk) · Design
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 5% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 48 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: academic or other (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 70 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, dermatology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: none (raises risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 0 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- not given (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- principal investigator (typical: sponsor)
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 70 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- female (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- academic or other
- Sponsor's past trials
- 20 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 5% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 48 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, dermatology, hematology
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study Comparing Pegylated rhG-CSF and rhG-CSF as Support to Breast Cancer Patients Receiving Chemotherapy NCT01611051 · started 2012 · scored riskier than 33% of active trials completed
- A Phase II Study Comparing Pegylated rhG-CSF(HHPG-19K) and rhG-CSF in Breast Cancer Patients Receiving Chemotherapy NCT02119715 · started 2011 · scored riskier than 56% of active trials completed
- Recombinant Human Serum Albumin/Granulocyte Colony Stimulating Factor Fusion Protein for Breast Cancer Patients NCT03251768 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- Intermittent G-CSF in Patients With Breast Cancer Receiving Adjuvant Docetaxel, Doxorubicin, and Cyclophosphamide (TAC) NCT02685111 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials terminated
- Reduced Dose of Pegfilgrastim as Support for Chemotherapy for Breast Cancer NCT05283616 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 30% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.