Pharmacokinetics and Metabolism of 14 Carbon [14C]-GSK3640254
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 5% for any early termination, 0% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 6% of the time (776 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2020-11-23, after 2020-09-24 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2020-11-23. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: heartto determinelymphomadisorderqt
Phrases that lowered it: participanthealthyparticipantssinglethe pharmacokinetics -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 9.8% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 30 (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 17 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 153 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 5 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 30 (typical: 18)
- Maximum age
- 50 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- male (typical: all)
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- Yes (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 153 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 9.8% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 17 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- infectious disease, immunology, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Relative Bioavailability and Food-Effect Study of GSK3640254 Tablet and Capsule Formulations in Healthy Participants NCT04128293 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials terminated
- Evaluation of Pharmacokinetic Interaction Between GSK3640254 and Caffeine, Metoprolol, Montelukast, Flurbiprofen, Omeprazole, Midazolam, Digoxin, and Pravastatin in Healthy Adults NCT04425902 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- A Relative Bioavailability and Food-Effect Study of GSK3640254 Tablet and Capsule Formulations in Healthy Participants NCT04263142 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 1% of active trials completed
- Drug-drug Interaction (DDI) Study of GSK3640254 With Darunavir/Ritonavir (DRV/RTV) and Etravirine (ETR) NCT04630002 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials completed
- Safety, Tolerability and Pharmacokinetic Investigation of GSK3882347 in Healthy Participants. NCT04488770 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.