A Study of Lemborexant in Chinese Participants With Insomnia Disorder
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 11% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 15% of the time (734 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2023-03-17, after 2020-11-06 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2023-03-17. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
-
Sponsor's past termination rate: 3.3% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Phase: 3 (lowers risk) · Design
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: diseaseplacebocardiacmsheart
Phrases that lowered it: participantefficacy andparticipantssafetyvisit -
Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 4.9% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 17.2% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Sponsor's past trials: 91 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Disease area, psychiatry: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Blinding: quadruple (lowers risk) · Design
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Maximum age: not given (lowers risk) · Who can join
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Number of arms: 2 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 3 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- parallel
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- quadruple (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- not given (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 91 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 3.3% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 11 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 1
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 122 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 118 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 17.2% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 4.9% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- neurology, psychiatry
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- lemborexant
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Assess the Pharmacodynamics of Lemborexant in Korean Participants With Insomnia Disorder NCT05594589 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 20% of active trials completed
- Study of the Efficacy and Safety of Lemborexant in Subjects 55 Years and Older With Insomnia Disorder (SUNRISE 1) NCT02783729 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 68% of active trials completed
- Long-term Study of Lemborexant in Insomnia Disorder (SUNRISE 2) NCT02952820 · started 2016 · scored riskier than 58% of active trials completed
- Study to Evaluate the Effect of 2 Dosage Strengths of Lemborexant (E2006) on a Multiple Sleep Latency Test in Participants With Insomnia Disorder NCT02350309 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 19% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate Next-Dose Transition From Zolpidem to Lemborexant (LEM) for the Treatment of Insomnia NCT04009577 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 36% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.