Study to Learn More About the Effect of a New Drug Called BAY2327949 on the Blood Flow Through Kidneys in Adult Participants With Moderate Chronic Kidney Disease
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 10% for any early termination, 2% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (4,470 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Terminated on 2021-05-05, after 2020-09-30 start.
Reason given by the sponsor: “other”
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-05-05. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Design: crossover (lowers risk) · Design
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: kidneyheartrandomizationfailuremri
Phrases that lowered it: participantparticipantsvisitthe effecteffect of -
Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 7.2% (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 69 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Sponsor's past trials: 897 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, neurology: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: basic science (raises risk) · Design
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Blinding: double (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Number of arms
- 2
- Allocation
- randomized
- Design
- crossover (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- basic science (typical: treatment)
- Blinding
- double (typical: none)
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 0
- Keywords listed
- 0 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 75 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 897 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 7.2% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 69 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 0 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- No (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 0 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 0 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- no FAERS history (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- no FAERS history (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- none of the 14 tracked areas
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- none matched
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- A Study to Learn How the Study Treatment BAY3283142 Taken as Single Dose by Mouth Moves Into, Through, and Out of the Body, How Safe it is, and How it Affects the Body in Participants With Reduced Kidney Function Compared to Participants With Normal Kidney Function of Similar Age, Gender, and Weight NCT05515432 · started 2022 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- A Study to Evaluate the Pharmacokinetics (How it Moves Into, Through and Out From the Body) of a New Gadolinium-based Contrast Agent (GBCA) After Injection and How Safe it is in Participants With Normal and Impaired Renal Function NCT05061979 · started 2021 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
- A Study in People With Normal Kidney Function and People With Reduced Kidney Function to Test How BI 1467335 is Processed in the Body NCT03302091 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 10% of active trials completed
- A Study to Test How Iclepertin is Taken up in the Blood of People With and Without Kidney Problems NCT05718843 · started 2023 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
- PK of Pacritinib in Patients With Mild, Moderate, Severe Renal Impairment and ESRD Compared to Healthy Subjects NCT02807077 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.