Study of a Single Intravenous (IV) Dose of MK-3402 in Participants With Impaired Renal Function and in Healthy Controls (MK-3402-004)

Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.

Model score 5% for any early termination, 1% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 5% of the time (233 trials).

Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.

Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2021-04-27. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.

From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.

• Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (lowers risk) · Wording Phrases that raised it: stagecarcinomapatientcancertreated
  Phrases that lowered it: participantshealthykgm2the pharmacokinetics
• Accepts healthy volunteers: Yes (lowers risk) · Who can join
• Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Phase: 1 (lowers risk) · Design
• Sponsor's past trials: 1309 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Design: parallel (raises risk) · Design
• Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 121 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Drug's FAERS reports with a death: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
• Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
• Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
• Disease area, cancer: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
• Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: no FAERS history (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
• Blinding: none (lowers risk) · Design
• Number of arms: 5 (lowers risk) · Design
• Disease area, psychiatry: No (lowers risk) · Disease area
• Responsible party: sponsor (lowers risk) · Design

Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.

• Safety and Pharmacokinetics of MK-2060 in Older Participants With End-Stage Renal Disease on Hemodialysis (MK-2060-004) NCT03873038 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 29% of active trials completed
• Evaluate Safety and Pharmacokinetics of Minocin (Minocycline) for Injection in Subjects With Renal Insufficiency NCT02808052 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 4% of active trials terminated
• Pharmacokinetics of Islatravir in Participants With Severe Renal Impairment (MK-8591-026) NCT04303156 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 5% of active trials completed
• PK of Pacritinib in Patients With Mild, Moderate, Severe Renal Impairment and ESRD Compared to Healthy Subjects NCT02807077 · started 2014 · scored riskier than 6% of active trials completed
• Single Oral Dose of Bevenopran in Patients With Varying Degrees of Renal Impairment NCT02508740 · started 2013 · scored riskier than 3% of active trials terminated

Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.