Pembrolizumab Plus Lenvatinib for First-line Advanced/Metastatic Non-clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma (1L nccRCC) (MK-3475-B61)
Model scores of the 29,894 trials active now.
Model score 17% for any early termination, 6% for termination due to slow enrollment. Past trials like this one (phase, sponsor type and disease area, started 2008–2016) ended terminated 22% of the time (1,598 trials).
Finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
How it ended
Completed on 2025-10-21, after 2021-02-23 start.
The score above never used this outcome: finished trial that started in 2015 or later: the model never saw it during training.
Termination over time, as the model saw it at the start
Cumulative chance of ending terminated (red) or completed (green) by each year from its start; it actually ended on 2025-10-21. The rest of the way to 100% is still running.
From the competing-risks survival model (termination vs completion, still-running trials censored), fit to trials that started 2008–2014 and recalibrated to termination rates over 2022–2024, since termination has become more common. Checked on past years, it still ran a little low when the rise continued.
What moved the score
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Sponsor's past termination rate: 17.0% (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Accepts healthy volunteers: No (raises risk) · Who can join
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Phase: 2 (raises risk) · Design
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Maximum age: 120 (lowers risk) · Who can join
-
Wording of the registration (title, summary, criteria) (raises risk) · Wording
Phrases that raised it: cellcancerradiationtumortherapy
Phrases that lowered it: participantsopen labelpressurerenaljoint -
Sponsor's past trials: 1312 (raises risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years: 121 (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Disease area, cancer: Yes (raises risk) · Disease area
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Design: single group (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports with a death: 23.6% (raises risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Sponsor type: industry (lowers risk) · Sponsor's track record
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Minimum age: 18 (raises risk) · Who can join
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Primary purpose: treatment (raises risk) · Design
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Drug's FAERS reports marked serious: 84.1% (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months: 9928 (lowers risk) · Drug's FDA history
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Has a data monitoring committee: No (lowers risk) · Design
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Collaborators: 1 (raises risk) · Design
Every input that moved this score, largest first: SHAP contributions in log-odds, red raising risk and green lowering it. They describe the model, not causes of termination. Phrases are traced from the text features back to this registration's words, approximately.
The trial
Design
- Phase
- 2
- Number of arms
- 1 (typical: 2)
- Allocation
- not applicable (typical: randomized)
- Design
- single group (typical: parallel)
- Primary purpose
- treatment
- Blinding
- none
- Has a data monitoring committee
- No (typical: 56% yes)
- Responsible party
- sponsor
- Collaborators
- 1 (typical: 0)
- Keywords listed
- 4 (typical: 1)
Who can join
- Minimum age
- 18
- Maximum age
- 120 (typical: 71)
- Sex
- all
- Accepts healthy volunteers
- No (typical: 9% yes)
Sponsor's track record
- Sponsor type
- industry (typical: academic or other)
- Sponsor's past trials
- 1312 (typical: 32)
- Sponsor's past termination rate
- 17.0% (typical: 9.9%)
- Trials the sponsor started in the prior 2 years
- 121 (typical: 19)
Drug's FDA history
- Drugs with FDA adverse-event history
- 2 (typical: 1)
- Drug has FAERS history
- Yes (typical: 64% yes)
- Drug's FAERS reports before start
- 38177 (typical: 2148)
- Drug's FAERS reports in the prior 12 months
- 9928 (typical: 412.5)
- Drug's FAERS reports marked serious
- 84.1% (typical: 85.6%)
- Drug's FAERS reports with a death
- 23.6% (typical: 15.9%)
Disease area and drugs
- Disease areas
- cancer, urogenital
- Drugs matched to FDA substances
- lenvatinib, pembrolizumab
Typical values are among the trials active now. Sponsor and drug history are counted only up to this trial's start date.
Similar finished trials
- Substudy 03B: A Study of Immune and Targeted Combination Therapies in Participants With Second Line Plus (2L+) Renal Cell Carcinoma (MK-3475-03B/KEYMAKER-U03) NCT04626518 · started 2020 · scored riskier than 69% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) With or Without Lenvatinib (MK-7902/E7080) in Adults With Programmed Cell Death-Ligand 1 (PD-L1)-Positive Treatment-naïve Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) (MK-7902-007/E7080-G000-314/LEAP-007) NCT03829332 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 75% of active trials completed
- A Phase II a Study of Lenvatinib, a Multi-targeted Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor, Combined With Pembrolizumab (PD-1 Inhibitor) for the Treatment of Metastatic Gastroesophageal Cancer Patients Who Have Progressed on First or Subsequent Line Therapies NCT03321630 · started 2017 · scored riskier than 89% of active trials completed
- Efficacy and Safety Study of Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) With or Without Lenvatinib (MK-7902/E7080) in Adults With Programmed Cell Death-Ligand 1 (PD-L1)-Positive Treatment-naïve Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) [MK-7902-007/E7080-G000-314/LEAP-007] - China Extension Study NCT04676412 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 72% of active trials completed
- Study of First-line Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) With Lenvatinib (MK-7902/E7080) in Urothelial Carcinoma Cisplatin-ineligible Participants Whose Tumors Express Programmed Cell Death-Ligand 1 and in Participants Ineligible for Platinum-containing Chemotherapy (MK-7902-011/E7080-G000-317/ LEAP-011) NCT03898180 · started 2019 · scored riskier than 70% of active trials completed
Closest by meaning of the registration text (PubMedBERT embeddings), among finished trials. How they ended is context, not an input to this trial's score.